Curated shelf #1
Ranked feed
Filters apply to this feed only — the hero shelf above stays snapshot-curated.
Listing age — ≤24h · ≤7d · ≤30d = first seen in our index. Not TTL or PM NEW. Hover chips for full notes.
Signal mode — CONV take-profit shelf · EARLY wider gap, event exits. If a slice is sparse, try All modes or another category.
EdgeVisor is a research tool, not financial advice. Model outputs can be wrong; you alone choose whether and how to trade on third-party venues. Terms / risk (placeholder).
Polymarket discovery
Open Polymarket listings we track in the background lane but did not promote to Top picks (25). Discovery cards only — no curated bet sizing or system side. Full list for every plan.
Discovery — Polymarket listings in our background lane, not on the Top picks shelf. No paywall on this tab. Active includes markets closing within 7 days.
Signal mode — CONV · EARLY.
| Market | Cat | Crowd | Consensus | Edge | Vol 24h | TTL | Actions |
|---|
| Market | Δ visit | Signal | Liquidity | Actions | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Rules are stored on your logged-in account (not this browser tab). Delivery uses email and/or Telegram from .
Local preview — rules stay in page memory until you sign in with a real account.
Price zone and resolution alerts on Free; activity triggers on Pro.
Link Telegram under , then enable DM delivery here.
Toggle pause or delete — each row belongs to your user id server-side.
Your estimate is above the market, so the contract looks favorable on this simplified EV model.
Simulated YES/NO stakes on the same markets as Top Picks — no wallet, no CLOB orders. Paper bets save to your account via /api/hypothesis and settle with Performance.
Local preview — bets are not saved to the server until you sign in.
After you pick a market, tap Yes or No on the card (green/grey buttons), set stake, then log the paper bet.
Rows sync to your account and settle when markets resolve (same feed as Performance).
How EdgeVisor signals scored after Polymarket resolution — hit rate and probability calibration in your plan window.
Model track record These rows are logged recommendations from our decision engine, not trades from your wallet. To log pretend YES/NO stakes and paper P&L, use Paper Bets.
Share of graded signals where our recommended side matched the resolved outcome.
| Time | Market | Recommended | Edge (pts) | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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Track Record uses /api/track-record (tier time window). Win rate uses correct on resolved rows with a known actual_outcome; OutcomeTracker now infers our_side from our_pct when missing, and migration 20260505_backfill_predictions_correct.sql backfills legacy NULLs. Table: sort column headers, paginate 25 rows per page.
Decision support for prediction markets — not a venue. Bookmark this page; it does not reset your onboarding tour.
We surface disagreement between crowd-implied prices and our probability estimates. Execution always happens on third-party venues.
We do not hold customer funds, match orders, or operate an exchange. You trade on venues such as Polymarket under their rules and fees.
The hero is a curated featured pick from the latest snapshot. Sorts and category filters tune the ranked feed below, not the hero card.
The grid lists more markets where our view diverges from the traded price. Check liquidity, time-to-resolution, and catalyst notes before sizing anything on the venue.
Modes split how fast the crowd is moving toward our side vs how wide the gap still is. Sorting only changes ranking — not the model math.
Price is already drifting toward our side while edge stays positive — often a shorter horizon and less “event shock” left.
Larger model-vs-crowd gap while the market is still elsewhere — often more path risk until resolution.
If a slice looks empty, widen to All modes or switch category. Sort (volume, edge, TTL, recency) only reorders the ranked feed.
Watchlist is a short manual follow list — best kept small so updates stay readable.
Alerts (where your plan allows) fire when price or consensus crosses thresholds you set. Delivery limits are enforced server-side.
After markets resolve, we score logged calls for calibration and hit rate — process quality, not a profit guarantee.
Past performance does not predict future results; use Performance to sanity-check whether the model behaves as you expect over time. This is not your trading P&L.
Free tiers may cap visible rows, delay some data, or limit automation; Pro expands catalog depth, alerts, and tooling where offered.
See Pricing for current limits — they can change as the product evolves.
Prediction markets carry liquidity, regulatory, and counterparty risk. Our outputs are research opinions, not personalized advice.
Read each venue’s rules and fee schedule. Only allocate capital you can afford to lose.