Politics
Will the US government shut down in 2026?
Quick answer
Political process markets can be highly informative while still being poor candidates for a hard immediate trade call.
Short reasoning
Headline flow moves first. Procedural reality often catches up later. That means the information signal can be strong while the execution signal remains fragile.
Uncertainty
Negotiation dynamics and legislative timing can change on one leadership decision or one leaked update.
Gap
EdgeVisor is valuable here because it can say “watch this closely” without pretending every informational edge is already a clean trade setup.